The Aces are still a favorite, but there are still two cards to come. Now it can expect to win only 55% of the time. But, on a flop of KQJr, the Ace’s equity drops down to 55%. Example: Pre-flop, AA, which is a tight 6 combos, has 85% equity vs a range made up of entirely of broadway cards and TT+ (which is 153 combos).You can also think of equity as how often you can expect to win the hand right now.Example: If you have 50% equity, then you can expect to win half the pot.Equity Definition – this is the % of the pot that belongs to you.Equity (9:05)īefore discussing hot and cold equity, we’ve got to talk about equity in general. wrote an incredible poker combinatorics article that’s worth checking out called “Poker Hand Combinations: The Critical Skill Required For Hand Reading”. 33% is the magic number because that’s the break-even % for you calling a pot-sized bet here. If the 26 combos is more than 33% of his range, you shouldn’t call his river bet. You need to compare this to all the other combos of hands he could’ve reached the river with. You don’t block any of these with your 98, so he has a total of 26 combos that beat you. So, there are 6 combos of KK, 16 combos of AK and only 4 combos of KQs. All other Kings would’ve folded pre-flop. We think he could’ve started the hand pre-flop with KK, AK and KQs only. If your opponent has a King for the King high straight, then he’ll beat your lower end Q-high straight. You need to be right 33% of the time vs his full psb.
You’re on the river, there are 4 to the straight on the board, and your opponent bet full pot. And 4 combos of KJs and 12 combos of KJo means there’s a total of 16 combos for all non-paired hands.There are 12 combos of all non-suited hands (like KJo).There are 4 combos of all suited hands (like KJs).Here’s a snippet from episode #68 called The Hand Reading Lab Part 3: Flopzilla and Hand Reading (starts at 9:49)Ĭombo counting is important for understanding just how many of a specific or group of hands your opponent might have. Percentage form and understanding the hands that make up various %’s are closely related to Combo Counting. Here’s a snippet from episode #66 called The HAND Reading Lab Part 2: HAND Reading and Percentage Form (starts at 13:38) You need to understand this stuff before we talk about combo counting then ultimately hot and cold equity. Understanding the math behind percentage form and how to use it to assign and analyze ranges is key in all the hand analysis you do off and on the felt.
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